Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.021918 0.026688 0.031718 0.037371 0.043507 0.049930 0.057124
2026-02-08 0.013286 0.019509 0.026640 0.035197 0.044996 0.055711 0.068167
2026-02-15 0.008716 0.015514 0.023943 0.034619 0.047350 0.061698 0.078788
2026-02-22 0.006093 0.013175 0.022623 0.035141 0.050533 0.068268 0.089747
2026-03-01 0.004276 0.011416 0.021661 0.035788 0.053616 0.074520 0.100169
2026-03-08 0.003142 0.010347 0.021395 0.037141 0.057417 0.081510 0.111355
2026-03-15 0.002133 0.009142 0.020729 0.037820 0.060267 0.087279 0.121041
2026-03-22 0.001889 0.009317 0.022059 0.041146 0.066434 0.097032 0.135419
2026-03-29 0.000981 0.007642 0.020343 0.040163 0.067003 0.099917 0.141590
2026-04-05 0.000552 0.006805 0.019822 0.040750 0.069531 0.105145 0.150515
2026-04-12 0.000216 0.005819 0.018896 0.040662 0.071106 0.109149 0.157931
2026-04-19 0.000049 0.005028 0.018181 0.040800 0.072924 0.113416 0.165633
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004147 0.017215 0.040602 0.074411 0.117448 0.173301
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002842 0.015069 0.038425 0.073117 0.117923 0.176609
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002140 0.014001 0.037836 0.073939 0.121044 0.183132
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001781 0.013658 0.038384 0.076327 0.126158 0.192105
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001494 0.013413 0.039062 0.078878 0.131471 0.201318
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001367 0.013606 0.040478 0.082480 0.138148 0.212230
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001142 0.013409 0.041187 0.085050 0.143471 0.221448
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001364 0.014764 0.044661 0.091641 0.154068 0.237274
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000906 0.013617 0.043635 0.091664 0.156042 0.242295
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000732 0.013401 0.044248 0.094063 0.161126 0.251207
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000510 0.012825 0.044156 0.095399 0.164792 0.258325